As it stands now, the loan repayment moratorium in Hungary is set to end as of 30 June 2021, which could reveal how vulnerable Hungarian households and businesses are to the prolonged financial effects of the coronavirus crisis. Banks may again focus on NPL management, the management and reduction of payment risks will be valued higher, and activity could resume in the debt purchase market. But what debt management techniques, technological innovations, legal hurdles and financial considerations will affect the market in the short, medium and long terms? This will be the focus of Portfolio's 29 April event, where experts from Hungary's bank and NPL management markets evaluate expected market developments from financial, legal and technological aspects, with a special emphasis on households.
Az európai bankcsoportok jelentős része nem tud pontos becslést adni arról sem, hogy idén év végén mekkora nem teljesítő hitelállományuk lesz, az információs lehetőségek egy részét ugyanis a moratóriumok elvették - hangzott el a Portfolio mai online Lakossági hitelkockázatok és behajtás 2021 Meetupján. a moratórium lejártát követően az NPL-állományok kezelésekor nagyobb érzékenységre készülhetünk, mind szabályozás, mind szervezeti kultúra tekintetében átrendeződés jöhet. A moratórium utáni időszakra való felkészülés óriási kihívás a bankok és a követeléskezelők számára, az eseményen ezt a témát járták körül meghívott szakértőink.
A felhalmozott kamattartozás előtörlesztésének díjmentessé tételét, a futamidő növelése helyett egy magasabb törlesztőrészlet önkéntes alapú vállalását és a törlesztések lépcsőzetes visszavezetését is a jogalkotók figyelmébe ajánlja az MNB a törlesztési moratórium kivezetésének tervezésekor – hangzott el a Portfolio mai online Lakossági hitelkockázatok és behajtás 2021 Meetupján. A követeléskezelők továbbra is elengedhetetlennek tarják egy egységes követeléskezelési törvény megalkotását, a bankok pedig optimistábban látják az MNB-nél a moratórium után várható fejleményeket a hitelportfóliók romlásában.
Közeledünk a hitelmoratórium végéhez, de elképzelhető, hogy a kormányok a nehezebb helyzetben lévő hiteladósok esetében kitolják a határidőt. Győrfi Gábor, a Qualco üzletfejlesztési igazgatója a Portfolio-nak adott interjúban elmondta, hogy a vállalati szektor mellett nagy a nemfizetési kockázat a lakosság körében is, utóbbi esetben a hitelbedőlések mértéke még a pandémia során képzett extra megtakarítások szintjét is meghaladhatja. A szakember szerint nehezíti a bankok helyzetét, hogy az elmúlt évben jelentősen megváltozott az ügyfeleik fizetési és vásárlási preferenciája, ilyen környezetben pedig nagyon nehéz előrejelezni. A gépi tanuláson alapuló követeléskezelési rendszerek fontossága tehát most jobban felértékelődik, mint valaha.
Mintegy 600 milliárd forintnyi hiteltörlesztést spórolt meg időlegesen a magyar lakosság tavaly a törlesztési moratóriumnak köszönhetően, ugyanis a lakossági hitelek mintegy 54 százaléka benne maradt a moratóriumban. Mivel már több mint egy éve nem kell törleszteni a hiteleket, a moratórium július 1-jei lejárta azt sejteti, hogy sokaknak lesz ebből pénzügyi nehézségük. A moratórium eddig sok mindent elfedett: jelenleg a lakossági hitelek mindössze 1,8%-a van 90 napon túli késedelemben a bankoknál, ami rég látott és örvendetes mélypontot jelent, de ez akár 10%-ra is könnyen felkúszhat akár már idén. Hogy mit okoz ez a követelések piacán, azzal részletesen foglalkozunk csütörtöki online Lakossági hitelkockázatok & behajtás Meetup 2021 konferenciánkon, még nem késő regisztrálni!
Az MNB becslése szerint a teljes lakossági hitelállomány nagyjából 10 százalékánál emelkedett meg jelentősen a hitelkockázat, a vállalati szegmensben a hitelállomány 12 százalékát fedik le azok a sérülékeny cégek, ahol potenciálisan problémákra lehet számítani. Bizonytalan, hogy a moratórium júniusi lezárásáig milyen állapotba kerül a gazdaság, a moratórium jövőjéről a következő hetek adatainak függvényében javasolt döntést hozni - mondta lapunknak Fábián Gergely, az MNB Pénzügyi stabilitásért és statisztikáért felelős ügyvezető igazgatója, aki a Portfolio Lakossági hitelkockázatok & behajtás 2021 Meetup-ján tart előadást a témában.
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