COVID-19: Zigzag shows improvement in key stats in Hungary this time

Portfolio
All key COVID-19 statistics show improvement in Hungary for the seven days ended on 24 January. We could easily see the exact opposite next week, though, as we've seen a baffling worsening of some figures in recent weeks.
koronavírus 3D dimenzió

Hungary has never been famous for the abundance, accuracy or transparency of its Covid statistics, and the situation was made worse (if that's even possible) when the official government site stopped publishing even the weekly set of data altogether as of 1 January 2023. The site itself is no longer available. It's but a fading (bad) memory by now.

We (i.e. the press) get access to Covid stats via state-run newswire MTI. The latest set of figures shows improvement on every front, but a single look at either the table below or the subsequent graphs will reveal how cautious we need to be when interpreting the weekly changes.

230125cov01
230125cov02
230125cov03
230125cov04

The ratio of people in hospital and on ventilator rose to an alarming level the week before last (to nearly 12% from 5%), only to retreat abruptly to 2.3% by yesterday.

The ratios showing deaths per hospitalised patients and deaths per ventilated patients oddly moved in opposite directions.

Another key indicator of the progress of the pandemic has also start to rise after a brief retreat for a fortnight. The following chart uses an indicator conceived by Balázs Pártos, an enthusiast with a medical background who was keeping a very close eye on the pandemic and made rather accurate estimates based on the CFR/OCC ratio. CFR = [deaths / confirmed cases], OCC = [deaths / (deaths + recoveries)]. This may be one of the best (simple) indicators as to where the pandemic is headed.

Vaccination

With a daily average of 384 doses administered (down from 454 a week ago) it makes very little sense to even address COVID-19 shots. But here you go anyway. A total of 2,690 doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered over the past seven days, down 15% w/w, which follows a 12% and 404% (!) growth in the preceding weeks, respectively.

Cover photo: Getty Images

 

More in Economy

Félnek a magyar cégek a minimálbér emelésétől
November 26, 2025 16:20

Agreement on Hungary's 2026 minimum wage close

The majority of parties on both the employer and employee sides would agree to a 11% increase

orbán-putyin-találkozó
November 26, 2025 13:22

Hungary's Orbán to meet Putin in Moscow

On Friday

deviza-forint-valuta-euró-uniós forrás-uniós támogatás-készpénz
November 26, 2025 12:15

EUR/HUF may still be around 385 at the end of 2026 - Erste

Hungary's GDP may grow 2% in 2026, according to the bank's analysts

587088814_1369695031290453_4794641382100431770_n
November 26, 2025 11:42

Is a lifeline being prepared? Hungarian MoFA unexpectedly travels to Serbia

Security of supply emergency

gwm
November 26, 2025 10:23

Hungary among possible locations for a major new Chinese car factory

Great Wall Motor announced a huge investment plan

GettyImages-1342172383
November 26, 2025 10:10

Rating reviews loom over Hungary, with even a downgrade on the cards

First Moody's, Fitch is next

LATEST NEWS
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can build advanced charts, spot upcoming trends in the stock screener, and find inspiration in multiple trading ideas

Detailed search