COVID-19 in Hungary: 269 new cases, 26 fatalities on Thursday
Hungarian authorities confirmed 269 new cases in the past 24 hours, bringing the total since last March to 805,571. The pandemic continues to recede in Hungary and the seven-day rolling average keeps decreasing.
There were more than 18,000 COVID tests applied yesterday, with a 1.4% positivity rate. The figure returned to normal after yesterday’s outstanding high rate, which was ue to the low number of tests. The seven-day rolling average is also decreasing here.
There were 26 coronavirus-related fatalities yesterday, increasing the death toll to 29,818.
There are currently 702 coronavirus patients in hospital, and 78 of them are on ventilator.
The left-hand chart shows the number of people with coronavirus infection in hospital and on ventilator, as well as the 3-day average of these figures. Over the past week, these curves have started to flatten, i.e. the rate of the decline was switching to stagnation. It now seems that the decline continues, though, and both the raw figures and the 3-day averages dropped further. Over the past week, the number of people infected with coronavirus in hospitals dropped by 322 and there are 36 fewer of them on ventilator currently.
The right-hand chart shows the ratio of those in hospital to active cases and those on ventilator to those in hospital. The general observation is that the former figure has been dropping throughout May but there seemed to be stagnation at the end of the month, and the other ratio has been hovering between 11 and 13% last month. The ratio jumped to 11.1% yesterday from 10.4%, and the 3-day average also edged up to 10.8 from 10.6%.
Here are the same figures, only with 7-day averages.
How do the changes change
The calculations in the following charts are based on 7-day averages.
The first chart shows ratios of 7-day averages: [the 7-day average of a given day – 7-day average of the previous day] / 7-day average of the previous day.
What we see is that the number of active cases has been dropping more than the number of those in hospital, i.e. when we see increases in the number of recoveries from coronavirus, it’s mostly because GPs are reporting them. As you can see, the rate of the changes have shrunk over the past few days.
The following chart, shows the ratios of the changes (curves) you see above. The blue line: orange/green, i.e. change in the number of hospitalised COVID-19 patients per change in active cases (with 7-day averages). Red line: blue/orange (on ventilator, 7-day average) / in hospital (7-day average). Wherever the ratios are over 100% (everywhere), the numerator is larger than the denominator, i.e. the rate at which they discharge Covid patients from hospitals (including those that are reported recovered by GPs) is higher than the rate at which the number of active cases is dropping. This means that an ever smaller percentage of active cases are in hospital.
So far 53.6% of Hungary’s population, or 5,238,903 people, have received at least one dose of a vaccine, and 39%, or 3,814194, have got both shots. The numbers rose by 11,000 and 81,942 yesterday, respectively. Currently available vaccines include Pfizer, Sinopharm and limited amounts of Sputnik, with Janssen and Moderna vaccines also available in some vaccination centres.
Cover photo: Getty Images
